What’s important to me.
I’ll explain best I can over time.
No newsletter.
History
- Poland-Lithuania
- World War I
- World War II
- Cold War & NATO
- Defense & Sovereignty
- Allies & Refugees
- Ukraine from 2014
Economics
- Monetary history
- Free banking
- Gold & Silver
- Bitcoin
Liberty
- Cincinnatus
- George Washington
- Thomas Jefferson
- James Madison
- Thomas Mann
- Ludwig von Mises
- Friedrich Hayek
- Milton Friedman
- George Selgin
Arts & Rec
- Track & Field
- Tennis
- Saxophone
Stock-to-flow fallacies:
- The highest market signal is price;
- Supply (stock) influences demand as important but secondary factor;
- Market cap (stocks, in USD-terms) influences demand as important but secondary factor;
- When we do economic calculation, we are measuring probabilities. In markets, this forms a trend;
- The trend must follow the highest market signal (See #1);
- There are four basic trends: Linear, Logarithmic, Exponential, and Power;
- Bitcoin’s price (adoption) follows power;
- Bitcoin’s supply (stock) follows logarithmic;
- Gold, silver, most of finance, et al. follows exponential;
- Keep it simple, but don’t shoehorn, or ham fist an idea.